Open data · TSIO-D04
Futures of the SI era
Ten sourced scenarios for the SI era that The SI Observatory watches, with status, the pillar each belongs to, the latest status line and the number of signals and sources behind it. This page holds version 2026.11.08, citation ID TSIO-D04-20261108: 10 rows in 1 table, as CSV and JSON, with a data dictionary, a README, CITATION.cff and Croissant metadata. Free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 with credit to The SI Observatory, tsio.si.
Files
Version 2026.11.08
This version never changes: its address stays the same and its files keep their checksums. The latest build is always at /data/si-futures/latest/, which may be newer than the last version.
| File | Rows | Size | SHA-256 |
|---|---|---|---|
| si-futures.csvThe ten futures | 10 | 4 KB | 1ccac7c348a6b278 |
| si-futures.jsonEvery table in one JSON file | 10 | 7 KB | 90816cf47bcf68a9 |
Cite this
How to cite Futures of the SI era
Cite the version you used. Its citation ID, TSIO-D04-20261108, names this exact set of files; a newer version gets a new ID.
- Citation ID
TSIO-D04-20261108- Version
- 2026.11.08
- Update cadence
- Reviewed weekly; a new version with every change.
- Publisher
- The SI Observatory, run by the SI community, built by Codeflex
The SI Observatory. (2026). Futures of the SI era (Version 2026.11.08) [Data set]. https://tsio.si/data/si-futures/v2026.11.08/ (Citation ID TSIO-D04-20261108)
@misc{tsio_d04_20261108,
author = {{The SI Observatory}},
title = {Futures of the SI era},
year = {2026},
version = {2026.11.08},
howpublished = {\url{https://tsio.si/data/si-futures/v2026.11.08/}},
note = {Data set. Citation ID TSIO-D04-20261108. License CC BY 4.0},
urldate = {2026-11-08}
}TY - DATA AU - The SI Observatory TI - Futures of the SI era PY - 2026 DA - 2026/11/08 ET - 2026.11.08 PB - The SI Observatory (tsio.si) UR - https://tsio.si/data/si-futures/v2026.11.08/ ID - TSIO-D04-20261108 N1 - License: CC BY 4.0 KW - SI futures KW - Super Intelligence scenarios KW - SI governance KW - SI risk ER -
Preview
What the data looks like
The first rows of each table, cut short for the page. The files hold every row and column.
| slug | title | question | pillar | pillar_token | status | status_line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| super-intelligence-legal-definition | When Super Intelligence Gets a Legal Definition in the US | What happens when the US legally defines Super Intelligence? | era | $SI | watching | As of Nov 8, 2026, no statute defines Super Intelligence. Proposed legislative language f. |
| country-bans-super-intelligence | When a Country Bans or Pauses Frontier Super Intelligence | What happens if a country bans or pauses frontier super intelligence development? | risk | $RSI | watching | As of Nov 8, 2026, no national government has enacted a ban or pause. A UK ban bill is se. |
| rogue-super-intelligence-incident | When a Rogue SI System Causes Real Harm Outside a Test | What happens when a rogue SI system causes real-world harm outside a test? | risk | $RSI | watching | As of Nov 8, 2026, the closest case is the July 2026 breach of Hugging Face by OpenAI age. |
| agi-declared-super-intelligence-benchmark | When a Lab Declares AGI or an SI Passes a Human-Level Test | What happens when an SI lab declares AGI or a model passes a human-level benchmark? | era | $SI | watching | As of Nov 8, 2026, no lab has made a formal AGI declaration verified by outside experts, . |
| orbital-compute-cluster-space | When the First Full SI Compute Cluster Runs in Orbit | What happens when the first full SI compute cluster runs in orbit? | machine | $SIS | watching | As of Nov 8, 2026, single satellites carry data center chips in orbit, but no networked c. |
| gigawatt-super-intelligence-data-center | When a One Gigawatt SI Data Center Goes Fully Online | What happens when a one gigawatt SI data center goes fully online? | machine | $SIS | watching | As of Nov 8, 2026, Epoch AI estimates xAI's Colossus 2 at about 946 MW of IT power; no si. |
Data dictionary
Every column, explained
Types follow Croissant: text, integer, number, date, date and time, true or false, and link.
| Column | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
slug | Text | Future id. |
title | Text | Title. |
question | Text | The question it answers. |
pillar | Text | era, mind, machine or risk. |
pillar_token | Text | The pillar token. |
status | Text | watching or happened. |
status_line | Text | The latest status. |
signals_to_watch | Integer | Signals listed. |
sources | Integer | Sources listed. |
page | Link | The future page. |
Sources
Where the data comes from
- The SI Observatory futures, https://tsio.si/futures/ (each future lists its own sources).