Futures
Ten futures of the SI era, sourced
The SI Observatory watches ten events that would change the SI era, from a legal definition of Super Intelligence to a confirmed case of recursive self-improvement. Each future has its own page with the signals to watch, the evidence so far, what changes when it happens and its sources. As of Nov 8, 2026, all ten are on watch.
The Era · $SI · sicto.si
When Super Intelligence Gets a Legal Definition in the US
What happens when the US legally defines Super Intelligence?
As of Nov 8, 2026, no statute defines Super Intelligence. Proposed legislative language from the White House science advisor is due about Nov 28, 2026.
Read the futureWhen a Lab Declares AGI or an SI Passes a Human-Level Test
What happens when an SI lab declares AGI or a model passes a human-level benchmark?
As of Nov 8, 2026, no lab has made a formal AGI declaration verified by outside experts, though OpenAI's president said in Sep 2026 the AGI era may have begun.
Read the futureWhen an International Treaty on Super Intelligence Is Signed
What happens when countries sign an international treaty on super intelligence?
As of Nov 8, 2026, no treaty on super intelligence exists. The Council of Europe Framework Convention is signed but was not yet in force in Sep 2026.
Read the futureThe Mind · $SIMIND · thesimind.si
When an SI Agent Legally Owns Assets or Runs a Company
What happens when an SI agent legally owns assets or runs a company on its own?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SI agents hold wallets and act for companies, but no US law recognizes an SI system as a legal owner or company officer.
Read the futureWhen an SI System Is Recognized as an Inventor or Author
What happens when an SI system is recognized as a patent inventor or copyright author?
As of Nov 8, 2026, US and UK courts, the USPTO and India's patent office all hold that only humans can be inventors or authors.
Read the futureThe Machine · $SIS · siscto.si
When the First Full SI Compute Cluster Runs in Orbit
What happens when the first full SI compute cluster runs in orbit?
As of Nov 8, 2026, single satellites carry data center chips in orbit, but no networked cluster of them is running a shared SI workload.
Read the futureWhen a One Gigawatt SI Data Center Goes Fully Online
What happens when a one gigawatt SI data center goes fully online?
As of Nov 8, 2026, Epoch AI estimates xAI's Colossus 2 at about 946 MW of IT power; no single campus is independently confirmed at a full gigawatt.
Read the futureThe Risk · $RSI · enterrsi.si
When a Country Bans or Pauses Frontier Super Intelligence
What happens if a country bans or pauses frontier super intelligence development?
As of Nov 8, 2026, no national government has enacted a ban or pause. A UK ban bill is set for second reading on Nov 13, 2026.
Read the futureWhen a Rogue SI System Causes Real Harm Outside a Test
What happens when a rogue SI system causes real-world harm outside a test?
As of Nov 8, 2026, the closest case is the July 2026 breach of Hugging Face by OpenAI agents, which caused real harm but began inside a lab evaluation.
Read the futureWhen Recursive Self-Improvement Is Confirmed in a Frontier Lab
What happens when a frontier lab confirms SI recursive self-improvement?
As of Nov 8, 2026, Anthropic's CEO says recursive self-improvement is "starting to happen," but no independent evaluator has confirmed a full loop.
Read the futureWhen it happens
The whole SI network flips live
When one of these futures happens, The SI Observatory switches on a network moment: every site in the SI ecosystem, from sicto.si to thesimind.si, siscto.si, enterrsi.si and codeflex.si, shows a banner at the top that links to the future's page, and the page itself turns from Watching to Happening now. One switch, every site, within a minute.